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To reverse a years of damaging total factor efficiency, local labour market policy is moving from basic job creation to handling active workforce shifts. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the concern is reinforcing economic resilience through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, efficient AI implementation, handled workforce shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain essential development chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Analysing New GCC Data for Strategic InsightsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
Ways to Utilize Market Intelligence for 2026 SuccessWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not simply the velocity of technological modification, though that velocity is real, however rather a basic shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more extensive improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international service outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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