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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall factor efficiency, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic task development to managing active labor force shifts. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the priority is strengthening economic durability through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, managed labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outperform most international regions peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote further investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to relieve inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services remain essential growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to pick up again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has been available in building diverse, resistant and globally competitive economies.
Preparing the UAE Workforce for the 2026 Digital ShiftScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Preparing the UAE Workforce for the 2026 Digital ShiftWhat distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more profound transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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